Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.291294 0.339260 0.392790 0.456990 0.531945 0.616757 0.720099
2025-01-26 0.224869 0.290637 0.372115 0.480642 0.621700 0.799246 1.040372
2025-02-02 0.190000 0.263701 0.361782 0.502206 0.698759 0.965113 1.355235
2025-02-09 0.164310 0.241626 0.350680 0.516291 0.762581 1.117161 1.669818
2025-02-16 0.142825 0.220750 0.336309 0.520960 0.810356 1.249453 1.971880
2025-02-23 0.124277 0.200760 0.319347 0.517627 0.843278 1.361141 2.255510
2025-03-02 0.106960 0.179822 0.297432 0.502327 0.853447 1.436158 2.488002
2025-03-09 0.098299 0.171562 0.294371 0.516747 0.913384 1.598670 2.888452
2025-03-16 0.088828 0.160495 0.284905 0.518403 0.950652 1.725976 3.243211
2025-03-23 0.081970 0.153031 0.280535 0.528103 1.002854 1.885256 3.677279
2025-03-30 0.073342 0.141158 0.266648 0.518153 1.016616 1.974460 3.988527
2025-04-06 0.066327 0.131417 0.255450 0.511672 1.035735 2.075376 4.335540
2025-04-13 0.060924 0.124296 0.248690 0.513636 1.073098 2.219382 4.797148
2025-04-20 0.058612 0.123119 0.253538 0.539937 1.164299 2.485588 5.559504
2025-04-27 0.056256 0.121521 0.257265 0.564232 1.254267 2.760693 6.381924
2025-05-04 0.053323 0.118301 0.257156 0.580097 1.327673 3.009149 7.180260
2025-05-11 0.049789 0.113307 0.252596 0.585357 1.377615 3.211255 7.899113
2025-05-18 0.045927 0.107094 0.244585 0.581602 1.405909 3.366801 8.527506
2025-05-25 0.041525 0.099095 0.231578 0.564368 1.399513 3.438883 8.956938
2025-06-01 0.039762 0.097140 0.232370 0.580611 1.477662 3.727368 9.988972
2025-06-08 0.037251 0.093064 0.227627 0.582475 1.519636 3.930590 10.824983
2025-06-15 0.035477 0.090601 0.226513 0.593403 1.586515 4.206525 11.901882
2025-06-22 0.032664 0.085164 0.217364 0.582195 1.592956 4.323701 12.549937